Nicholas Bay further believes that there is a good chance of a trade deal with the United States to offset the losses of the harsh Brescia – and warns that Ireland in particular will suffer very badly as a result of such consequences. Mr Bay, who is the general secretary of the right-wing National Rally party led by Marine Le Pen, delivered a scathing speech in the European Parliament on Wednesday, where he suggested that failing to reach an agreement would be much worse than the EU.
And after talking to Express.com.week, he gave his reasons in more detail.
He said: “The worst case scenario would certainly be a poorly prepared no-deal, a chaotic situation.
“The interests of both sides are huge, our economy is at the same level and produces different products: the lack of trade agreements will weaken the whole sector, thousands of jobs on both sides.
This is especially true of French-British relations.
“But the UK can probably turn around quickly thanks to the Commonwealth.
“The political, cultural and linguistic proximity of the entire Anglo-Saxon world will allow your country to compensate faster.”
Read more: Brussels bans trade talks ‘to punish UK’
Mr Bay also suggested that not being outside the EU would enable the UK to focus on its own interests without being a factor in the economies of the 227 member states.
He explained: “In addition, the UK will again be able to impose tariffs on certain strategic products if necessary, while allowing other products to enter duty-free to protect its economy.
“All in all, the UK will be able to handle the shock of a deal better than some EU countries.”
Former Irish Ambassador to Canada Ray Bassett, Jamaica and the Bahamas believe the United Kingdom will be able to prosper outside the bloc by calling it an “Anglophone Alliance” with the United States and Canada.
In his recently published book, Ireland and the EU Post Brescit, Mr Bassett writes: “Despite the Trump administration’s short-term quicksighting behavior, an Anglophone North Atlantic Free Trade Area is likely to emerge around the United States, Canada and Britain.
“It will be developed as part of an alternative trade strategy for the UK after Brexit.”
As for his own country, he added: “As Ireland’s two largest trade partners begin to move towards a mutually beneficial new agreement, it is time to consider the serious matter.
“While US relations with the United Kingdom are likely to warm up considerably in a few years, the same cannot be said of EU-US relations, which have been under pressure since President Trump was elected to the United States in 2011.
“Ireland has a huge interest in maintaining a harmonious relationship between Brussels and Washington.
“However, there is no doubt that Ireland’s interest will be a major consideration for the European Commission and its relations with Washington.
“It will mainly be concerned with big ticket items, such as German car exports and the country’s investment in the United States.”
(Additional report by Maria Ortega)
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