US elections 2020 weeks ahead: ‘panic button’ moment for Senate Republicans

5. 48-ish days to VP selection:

Former Vice President Joe Biden said he wanted to choose his jogging friend by August 1 – it’s not too long!

(Here is my last look at the 10 women most likely to receive wind as Biden’s choice.)

Biden himself withdrew some of his previous seat quarter support from who was considered and who was not.

While still offering praise for the most-mentioned candidates – and its campaign New Mexico Gov.

So things are getting more and more serious.

4. How do Democrats dance around ‘Defeat Police’?

What the Democrats would like to talk about this week at the Congress is the legislative package they aimed to reform the police last week – from banning strangers to creating a national police duty abuse database.

Some of the Black Lives Matter activists that they may have to deal with during the second straight week are ongoing calls to completely redirect the police and reallocate these funds to support marginalized communities.
If we talk politically, it is extremely troubled. one ABC News-Ipsos survey Those released on Friday showed that two-thirds of Americans are opposed to attacking the police. However, almost 6 out of 10 (57%) of black Americans support such a measure and reallocate this money to more community-based programs.
House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, trying to go beyond the “defeat the police” debate, said Congress’s top African official at the CNN on Sunday:

He said: “Nobody will allocate funds to the police. We can reconstruct the police forces. Reconstruct, imagine the policing. That’s what we will do. The point is that the police have a role to play.”

Politically speaking, it’s the right place. Many people support reform in reform practices. Much less back defunding completely.

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The question before the Congressional Democrats is whether Clyburn’s position he expressed on Sunday is enough for the more activist wing of his parties.

3. Trump and ramp:

On Saturday, President Donald Trump gave the starting point at West Point. And as we leave the stage, the cameras caught him walking down a ramp to the ground.

Twitter bananas are gone, Trump looked old and weak. This is of course what Twitter does.

But then Trump decided to drastically raise the profile of that moment and make it a much bigger story.

“The ramp I landed after my West Point Start speech was too long and steep, there were no handrails and most importantly it was very slippery” Trump tweeted on Saturday night. “The last thing I do is” fall “for the fake news to have fun. I ran on a flat surface for the last ten meters. Momentum!”

It is difficult to overdo Trump’s miscalculation. His video of walking down the ramp without his tweet, perhaps a little Sunday story. With Tweet, it’s a BIG story on Sunday, there is the potential to infiltrate a week when the President wants to focus on the re-launch of the election campaign.

So why did he do it? Because it cannot always be portrayed as a publicly weak or completely less than command. So even if he strengthens criticism, Trump feels as if he has to respond. (Read about Trump’s twisted definition of toughness.)

This is a terrible political instinct.

2. The Trump campaign is restarting:

The past few weeks have been disastrous for Trump and his party. (See below). The president hopes that it will be the week when everything changes, pointing to his rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma on Saturday.

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Although this is already bot (The rally was originally scheduled for Friday, June 19, a day celebrating the end of slavery) Trump and his closest allies see his return to the campaign trail as perhaps something that could heal what bothers the President’s political wealth.

Trump, no exaggerated man, Said on Twitter Friday “We received ticket requests from more than 200,000 people. I look forward to seeing everyone in Oklahoma!”
There is no question that Trump is fueled by the energy of the crowds and that a ton of people will participate on Saturday night. (No, there will not be 200,000 people; the capacity of the venue where the event is organized Just over 19,000.)

However, the news of the week seems to focus, at least in part, on the wisdom of Trump, who held a major rally, especially with the coronavirus swelling in the west and southwest.

Already, the participants are asked to sign a waiver that accepts that they have contracted with Covid-19 at the rally. Tulsa’s health director said on Saturday: Wishes Trump to delay the rally Except for our concerns about “our ability to protect everyone who attended a large, closed event”.

However, there is no plan to enforce social distance in rally or wearing a mask.

Yes, Trump will likely get what he wants – a large crowd celebrating the country’s “transition to size.” But at all costs?

1. Press the panic button:

On Saturday night, Des Moines Register issued a poll about the Iowa Senate race. And that was a shock.

Democrat Theresa Greenfield, Republican Iowa You. He received 46% in the survey for Joni Ernst. J. Ann Selzer as an interviewer registered, first survey Ernst ran and won in 2014, which showed him that he was following the general election opponent.
Although these figures do not suggest that Ernst will lose – Republicans attack / definitions Then Greenfield primary victory earlier this month They make it clear that a race seen on the eaves of being competitive now looks like a real competition.

And for the Senate Republicans hoping to hold their narrow majority this fall, this t-r-o-u-b-l-e.

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Why is that? Because there are so many seats that independent handicaps see at least as vulnerable as Iowa.

Cook Political ReportFor example, he lists Iowa as “Republican” with both the Georgia seats and Kansas and Montana. And they lined up four more GOP seats – Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina – to throw them away, so they’re the most at stake.

Do the math: These are nine seats. In contrast, Cook evaluates only two Democratic chairs – Alabama and Michigan – as competitive. You can see why Republicans are so bad on Saturday night (and Sunday) when you think that Democrats only need three seats to win the majority if Biden wins the presidential race (and if not four).

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About the Author: Abbott Hopkins

Analyst. Amateur problem solver. Wannabe internet expert. Coffee geek. Tv guru. Award-winning communicator. Food nerd.

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