Three weeks ago, ministers were warned that the country would face “a catastrophic epidemic of catastrophic consequences” if it did not take immediate action by imposing a two-week “circuit breaker” lockdown to curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Despite feeling the full impact of the government’s opening of Sage Committee schools and universities by experts, ministers have been urged to take urgent action as new infections are on the rise across all ages across the country.
The group proposed five steps – a short lockdown time to eradicate the new infection – that called on ministers to consider getting out of the second wave of the virus, which would “fall abnormally on the horrors of our society, but low-income and poor people.” [black, Asian and minority ethnic] Communities “.
The warning was published in official documents released after the Prime Minister convened a press conference on Monday evening, September 21, to announce a new three-tiered cobid warning system to protect the epidemic.
Experts say: “As more than 90% of the population remains vulnerable, failure to reduce cases now will have dire consequences for the need for direct covid-related deaths and for meeting health care needs.”
The committee said that even after the national lockdown and the establishment of a test, trace and isolation system, the epidemic situation was such that “urgent action was needed” to prevent a significant increase in cases.
Circuit breaker as well as advising all those who can work from home in the group’s five recommendations; House-to-house mixed bans without help bubbles; All bars, restaurants, cafes, indoor gyms and services such as hairdressers are closed; And all university and college education must be online “unless absolutely necessary”.
Only one of the five methods has been introduced nationally – suggesting working from home if possible. The latest figures show that the epidemic is doubling in size every seven or eight days, but in some areas the rate is expected to be even faster. Seeing the pace at which the epidemic was growing, Sage estimated that about 3,000 hospital admissions per day could occur by the end of October, the peak in early April, “unless urgent action is taken to reduce the infection.”
The circuit breaker was proposed as a way to reduce R, an infected person falls below an average of 1 below the average and pushes the new transmission to a lower level. Other arrangements were deemed necessary for about 1 maintenance for the next month. Care must then be taken to verify whether further intervention was needed.
Experts say the circuit breaker epidemic could push back 28 days if it adheres well, adding that multiple circuit breaks may be needed to keep cases low in the winter.
In light of the rapid escalation of the case, the team also called for some more measures to be taken to prevent infection in care homes, hospitals and other settings for the homeless, such as prisons and hostels.
The scientists stressed that all proposed interventions would harm health and well-being and take additional measures to reduce the damage, and that there was an “urgent need” to ensure that they did not fall into the poorest and most vulnerable.
Taking swift action will reduce the number of deaths and many restrictions were put in place at the time, although it will be necessary for a few months, at least in winter,
The document provided a detrimental assessment of NHS tests and traces, which the committee had previously said needed to be worked out effectively before the national lockdown is lifted and schools reopen. Experts have warned that the system is “with a low level of engagement”, testing delays and the potential vulnerability to self-isolation, “at the moment the system is having a marginal effect on infection”.
“Unless the system grows at the same rate as the epidemic and people are not supported to comply with their self-isolation, the effects of testing, trace and isolation are likely to diminish further in the future,” the expert added.