The Kovid emergency is slowing down considerably globally, except in some areas where the virus is still particularly active and expanding in the context of some outbreaks. New global cases of coronovirus since the peak in January – when there were 743 thousand – have been reduced by about 50%, although transmission of covids, according to some studies, is generally as high as all coronavir. The AFP was calculated by the agency: new daily cases amounted to about 362 thousand, the lowest number in the last four months with a 12% decrease from the previous week. Despite the impossibility of a homogeneous calculation, this is the longest period of decline recorded since the onset of the epidemic.
North America recorded the most significant decline (USA and Canada) With -28%. In addition, analysts believe that comparing the evolution of infections between January 22 and April 6, 2020, last year, it said that the transition could gradually subside as temperatures rose in the Northern Hemisphere. Although not prominent, as experts specify, a seasonal component is actually associated with saras-COV-2, which, like its coronovirus cousin, thrives in cold and dry climates, and is instead the hottest and humid. Slows down over months. So much so that Professor Marty Makari of Johns Hopkins University Medical School in a conversation Wall Street Journal, Predicted that the “Kovid epidemic will disappear massively by April” in the United States where the infection has fallen by 77% since January.
United States case
But why in the United States – one of the most affected countries with 28 million cases and 500 thousand deaths – are infections falling faster than predicted? According to Professor Makari, the outbreak of infection is “in large part because the natural immunity produced against infection is much more common, which can be measured by tests.” Previous infections of other coronaviruses that provided immune memory to those who contracted them and the immunity developed by those infected with Saras-Cove-2 would come into play: hence the development of a type of herd immunity.
“There are reasons to think – he explained – the country is running towards extreme reduction in cases of infection. More people have been infected, mostly without symptoms or with milder symptoms, fewer and fewer people remain at risk ». Furthermore, it should be considered that Vaccination campaign Moves at full speed. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 59 million doses of vaccines have already been administered and approximately 15% of US citizens have been vaccinated; All continued to increase the rate of administration, to the point that about 150 million people should have received the dose at the end of March. However, other experts – for example the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation – estimate that the goal of herd immunity, if anything, is still a long way to go.
Britain steps forward
The same anti-Kovid significant public impact – given byNatural immunity And here it Vaccination campaign – It seems that another country has started in the United Kingdom as well, another country that is very advanced with the administration of vaccines for the population, not only that one in three Britons have already been vaccinated ( And all must be over 50 between March and April). From a peak of 68,053 cases in January, it has decreased to 9,834 in the previous week, a decrease of 10.3% from the previous week.
First screening shows that vaccines are sufficiently effective against different types of viruses Reducing hospital admissions and deaths, Which progressively relieves the pressures of health facilities and eventually closes the emergency. The Johnson government is thus considering reopening schools on 8 March, gradually reducing lockdown measures and expects outdoor sports (football, tennis, golf) to return to practice from 29 March. The rule of aggregation of maximum 6 people or two families is also being reintroduced. If this “road map” were to proceed, all the bars and restaurants would reopen in May, and normal life would return in July. TK Minister Nadim Zahavi said on Monday, “He was confident that if we would do it carefully and based on the data and evidence, it would be sustainable and this is the last time we are in lockdown due to Kovid-19.”
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