China’s regulatory action is not a problem for China and technology-oriented investors. Markets everywhere are horrified at the level of ideological control over private companies by Chinese authorities.
It won’t help China’s ties with Britain – something that has been described as a recent decline from a “golden age to an ice age” following Hong Kong, Huawei and human rights conflicts. Growing concerns about China reinforce a determination here to restrict the communist state’s access to major energy infrastructure projects and may also affect trade deals, although both of these areas may affect the state’s economic policy over the next decade. important pillars of
Sometimes you have to take the least easy route to avoid hoarding problems for later, even when you’re trying to get out of the economic crisis caused by the pandemic. In any case, despite major economic challenges, including the added volatility of Brexit, decarbonisation, supply chain problems and inflationary risks, there is plenty of positive news on the front lines of economic recovery. With the start of the reporting season – you can find all of our latest analysis on the company news page – many companies are reporting better prospects, while the EY Item Club expects economic growth of 7.6 percent for this year and the IMF is looking at its 7 percent agree with own forecast. Begbies Traynor reports that the number of distressed businesses has fallen by 10 percent for the first time since the second quarter of 2019, but also warns that Covid is clearly affecting the UK’s zombie business community, with many Companies are shedding light on unpaid debt. Durable during the pandemic. .
But like investing, trading is about the long game. Perhaps even more worrying are data from the Bureau of National Statistics, which showed a sharp decline in business investment in 2020, given the risk of further business failure. Again, it wasn’t just about the pandemic. There has been a significant decline in UK corporate investment prior to March 2020. This is likely to have a negative impact on future growth and productivity, as the latter is a region where the UK lags behind France and Germany – their productivity levels are about 15 per cent higher. This is one reason the government is calling for the UK’s total investment in research and development to reach 2.4 per cent of GDP by 2027. However, it will be equally important how to address the skill shortage required for innovations.
The UK’s network infrastructure also lags behind France and Germany (according to the World Economic Forum), which is significant because good infrastructure means productivity gains – the government estimates that every 10 per cent growth in infrastructure networks is accompanied by a 2 per cent increase. is connected. on gross domestic product.
It’s another reason why record investment in infrastructure networks is at the heart of the British government’s ambitious development plan – as it was reported in March of this year. The other reason is that it will be important to help regions raise the bar and achieve complete decarbonisation.
The next decade will be decisive – by 2030 we will know whether climate protection goals have been achieved, whether tariff free trade agreements are beneficial to us and our partners, whether high levels will be reached and whether there is an impending housing crisis is resolved (with our transition to green) and if we can maintain and grow our preference for export services. One thing that is unlikely to change much by 2030 is our global reliance on technology and – once again – the great technology breakthrough in the United States. Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft combined made after-tax profit of about $5 billion a week last quarter.
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