Mexico, the third country most bereaved by Kovid-19 after the United States and Brazil, crossed the barrier of 200,000 deaths from the virus on Thursday.
“These are 200,211 people who, unfortunately, died due to complications from Kovid-19’s disease,” said Jose Luis Alomia, director of epidemiology of health of the Mexican Secretariat.
The figure of 200,000 dead was crossed when 584 deaths were recorded in the last 24 hours.
Hugo López-Gatel, the head of the government’s strategy against the virus, attributed the toll to the fact that Mexico faced an epidemic with a poor health system over the years from “corruption”.
He also emphasized that 87% of those infected with the virus died and suffered from “at least one chronic disease”.
Mexico has the 17th highest death rate per 100,000 population. Mortality rates fluctuate between 200 and 1,000 per day. The number of infections exceeds 2.2 million for 126 million inhabitants.
We are far from the initial forecasts of a government led by President Andrés Manuel López Obredor, who predicted 8,000 deaths at the onset of the epidemic.
Requiring practicality, this estimate was later quickly revised to 35,000 and then 60,000 deaths, a scenario then qualifying as “catastrophe”.
AFP Alejandro Macias, an epidemiologist who led the strategy against the H1N1 virus in 2009, said, “I imagined it was going to be worse than the government had hoped. But it was more.”
Carlos’s widow Adriana Hernández, the first official death of Kovid-19 in Mexico on March 18, 2020, remembers the mistrust of the authorities and her neighbors only a year earlier. “We were told and threatened to burn our house … but today, like others, we are part of the figures,” she told AFP.
– Viewer of the third wave –
The country, however, comes out some nine weeks after the January nightmare with hopes of improvement. Records of death and contamination were then broken, with hospitals saturated, especially in the capital and its metropolitan area.
But the scenario of the third wave cannot be ruled out, with the Brazilian version, circulating in many Latin American countries, too much viral mutation of SARS-CoV-2.
Mexican authorities indicated that they had so far identified only ten cases of the British version and no more than three cases of the Brazilian version, particularly in a woman who returned from Brazil at the end of January and was immediately in solitary confinement was laid.
Reluctant to make new forecasts, Hugo Lopez-Gatl, in charge of the government’s strategy against coronaviruses, is content to issue a warning as millions of Mexicans prepare for the Easter holiday.
“There is no certainty, neither in Mexico, nor in the world, that the epidemic curve will gradually descend,” he said.
Alejandro Macias also does not dismiss the acceleration of pollution in view of these holidays, although religious ceremonies are limited. He also raised the possibility that part of the Mexican population “develops a certain immunity”.
– Vaccine Drop by Drop –
Allegated by his opponents of laxity, leftist President López Obredor responds that Mexico was among the first Latin American countries to launch a vaccination campaign on December 24, 2020. His administration has claimed that some people have invested $ 3.6 billion in the fight against him. Coronavirus.
The President said, “We are already at the bottom of the second wave. We should take the opportunity of vaccination to defend in the event of the third wave.”
But this vaccination is slowly advancing. It is in the priority of the nursing staff and aims to cover all the elderly by May.
In three months, about 10 million doses came, of which 6.1 million were administered. Alejandro Macias said, “For the actual vaccination, we have to apply one million vaccines per month. We are not there. The vaccination program has derailed.”
For the economy, which experienced a historical decline of 8.5% due to the epidemic in 2020, it appears to be reborn.
This month, the central bank revised its growth forecast to 2021, from 3.3% to 4.8%.
Despite the intensity of the second wave, the authorities survived the closure almost exactly as it did a year earlier. Despite the ban, many sectors of the economy remain active.
Alejandro Macias says, “With more than half of Mexicans in the informal sector, it’s hard to tell them ‘don’t go out’.”